Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Enköping
IF Karlstad
Enköping
W
W
W
L
D
L
IF Karlstad
D
L
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
IF Karlstad holds a modest quality edge over Enköping, but Enköping's strong recent form contrasts with IF Karlstad's poor recent performance. Despite this, the model predicts an away win with a 54% probability, noting that IF Karlstad has historically dominated recent meetings and those games tended to feature plenty of goals. The market odds also favor the away side, reflecting similar confidence in an IF Karlstad victory. The model also leans toward 'over' for 1.5 goals and 'under' for 2.5 goals, suggesting a game with a couple of goals but not an especially high-scoring one.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad | Enköping | 2 - 1 | August 2, 2026 |
| IF Karlstad | Enköping | 2 - 0 | September 27, 2025 |
| Enköping | IF Karlstad | 3 - 4 | May 17, 2025 |
Enköping Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Sollentuna | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Assyriska FF | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Vasalund | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Stockholm Internazionale | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Umeå FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | FBK Karlstad | 2 - 0 | Loss |
IF Karlstad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | FBK Karlstad | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Stocksund | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | gefle IF | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Sollentuna | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Assyriska FF | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IF Karlstad | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 21 | +12 | 38 |
| 7 | Enköping | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 38 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.IF Karlstad to win
This prediction indicates that IF Karlstad has a 53.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.54 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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