Serie A
Match Analysis
Venezia
Lazio
Venezia
L
L
L
L
L
W
Lazio
D
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Laziu has been in much better form recently compared to Venezia, and they are also considered a stronger team overall. Venezia, however, have been scoring well in their latest matches. The model predicts a 56% chance that Lazio will win, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than one or two goals in the match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | Lazio | 0 - 0 | February 22, 2025 |
| Lazio | Venezia | 3 - 1 | August 18, 2024 |
| Lazio | Venezia | 1 - 0 | March 14, 2022 |
| Venezia | Lazio | 1 - 3 | December 22, 2021 |
Venezia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Frosinone | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Udinese | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | AC Milan | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Lecce | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Modena | 3 - 2 | Win |
Lazio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | AC Milan | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Udinese | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Genoa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Bologna | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Mantova | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Frosinone | 1 - 2 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.16% likelihood that both Venezia and Lazio will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Lazio to win
This prediction indicates that Lazio has a 56.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.28 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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