Serie A
Match Analysis
Parma
Genoa
Parma
L
D
W
L
L
W
Genoa
W
D
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a draw between Parma and Genoa with a 36% probability. Given that the teams are closely matched in quality and both are in poor recent form, a draw seems plausible. The market odds (Home 3.10, Draw 3.00, Away 2.50) suggest a similar level of uncertainty, indicating that the draw outcome aligns well with what the odds imply. Additionally, past meetings between these sides have often ended level, and goals have been scarce, supporting the model's view.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | Genoa | 0 - 0 | January 18, 2026 |
| Genoa | Parma | 0 - 0 | October 19, 2025 |
| Genoa | Parma | 1 - 0 | January 12, 2025 |
| Parma | Genoa | 0 - 1 | November 4, 2024 |
| Parma | Genoa | 2 - 0 | February 5, 2023 |
| Genoa | Parma | 3 - 3 | September 3, 2022 |
Parma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | como | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Monza | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Cremonese | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Juventus | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Catania | 2 - 0 | Win |
Genoa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Sudtirol | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Frosinone | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | como | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Lazio | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Napoli | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Ascoli | 4 - 1 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Parma will score 0 goals, and Genoa will score 0 goals in the football match.Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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