Serie A
Match Analysis
Udinese
Cagliari
Udinese
L
L
W
W
D
W
Cagliari
W
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Udinese has had the upper hand in games against Cagliari, often coming out on top in their recent encounters. The model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, suggesting a modest confidence level that aligns somewhat with Udinese's quality edge and past dominance, though not overwhelmingly so. The market odds imply a similar level of confidence in a Udinese victory, placing them as the slight favourites. Additionally, the model sees a 48% chance that neither team will score, indicating a leaning towards a quieter match, which is somewhat at odds with the market's slightly stronger tilt toward both teams scoring.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | Udinese | 0 - 2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Udinese | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | October 5, 2025 |
| Cagliari | Udinese | 1 - 2 | May 3, 2025 |
| Udinese | Cagliari | 2 - 0 | October 25, 2024 |
| Udinese | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | February 18, 2024 |
| Udinese | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | November 1, 2023 |
Udinese Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | Inter | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Lazio | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Venezia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Monza | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | como | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Padova | 1 - 0 | Win |
Cagliari Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Atalanta | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Lecce | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 3, 26 | Home | Verona | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Inter | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Parma | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Udinese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Udinese to win
This prediction indicates that Udinese has a 43.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.81 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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