Serie A
Match Analysis
Bologna
Torino
Bologna
L
D
L
L
L
L
Torino
L
W
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Bologna has a modest quality edge over Torino, but both teams are in poor recent form, making this a closely matched contest. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is broadly in line with the market odds that also favor Bologna. Additionally, the model sees the match as likely to have fewer than two goals, with a 46% chance for under 2.5 goals, aligning with the market's slight preference for a lower-scoring game. Recent meetings between the sides have typically been tight and low on goals, supporting this view.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | Bologna | 1 - 2 | February 15, 2026 |
| Bologna | Torino | 0 - 0 | October 29, 2025 |
| Bologna | Torino | 3 - 2 | February 14, 2025 |
| Torino | Bologna | 0 - 2 | December 21, 2024 |
| Torino | Bologna | 0 - 0 | May 3, 2024 |
| Bologna | Torino | 2 - 0 | November 27, 2023 |
Bologna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Napoli | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Sassuolo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Atalanta | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Lazio | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Brighton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Pisa | 1 - 4 | Loss |
Torino Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | AS Roma | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Fiorentina | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Monza | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | AC Milan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Carrarese | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Bologna to win
This prediction indicates that Bologna has a 47.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.02 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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