Serie A
Match Analysis
AS Roma
Inter
AS Roma
W
D
W
W
W
D
Inter
W
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Inter has generally had the upper hand in meetings between these two teams, though those games have often been tight and low-scoring. Despite Inter's clear quality edge on paper, the model predicts a home win with a 36% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also sees a strong chance of both teams scoring (59%) and favors ‘over’ for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goal lines, suggesting an open, attacking game, even though recent head-to-head matches have usually been tight.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | AS Roma | 5 - 2 | April 5, 2026 |
| AS Roma | Inter | 0 - 1 | October 18, 2025 |
| Inter | AS Roma | 0 - 1 | April 27, 2025 |
| AS Roma | Inter | 0 - 1 | October 20, 2024 |
| AS Roma | Inter | 2 - 4 | February 10, 2024 |
| Inter | AS Roma | 1 - 0 | October 29, 2023 |
AS Roma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | Torino | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Fenerbahce | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Lecce | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Inter Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Udinese | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Real Madrid | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Napoli | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Monza | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Real Betis | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Inter | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 12 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.49% likelihood that both AS Roma and Inter will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
AS Roma to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that AS Roma has a 35.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.81 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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