Premier League
Match Analysis
Nottingham Forest
Coventry
Nottingham Forest
W
D
D
L
L
W
Coventry
L
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features Nottingham Forest, who hold a clear quality gap over Coventry, and this gap is reflected in the model's outlook. Despite both teams showing poor recent form, the model predicts a home win with a 61% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Nottingham Forest. The model also suggests a likely goal-filled game, indicating "both teams to score" with a 52% chance and predicting "over 1.5 goals" at 55%, both of which are in line with the market's expectations for a dynamic encounter.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | Coventry | 1 - 3 | July 8, 2022 |
| Nottingham Forest | Coventry | 2 - 0 | April 6, 2022 |
| Coventry | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 1 | August 8, 2021 |
| Coventry | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 2 | February 2, 2021 |
| Nottingham Forest | Coventry | 2 - 1 | November 4, 2020 |
| Nottingham Forest | Coventry | 2 - 0 | February 18, 2012 |
Nottingham Forest Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Aston Villa | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Leeds | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Leeds | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 0 | Win |
Coventry Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Aston Villa | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Brighton | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Manchester City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Hull City | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Plymouth | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Arsenal | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.39% likelihood that both Nottingham Forest and Coventry will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Nottingham Forest to win
This prediction indicates that Nottingham Forest has a 61.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.53 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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