Premier League
Match Analysis
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Leeds
W
L
D
D
W
W
Crystal Palace
W
L
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Leeds with a 59% probability. The model sees Leeds as clearly the better side and notes they have a rest advantage, both supporting a stronger performance. However, recent meetings have often ended in draws, and both teams are in moderate recent form, which adds some uncertainty. The market odds also suggest Leeds are favored, but the model is slightly more confident in a home win than what the odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Leeds | 0 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| Leeds | Crystal Palace | 4 - 1 | December 20, 2025 |
| Leeds | Crystal Palace | 1 - 5 | April 9, 2023 |
| Crystal Palace | Leeds | 2 - 1 | October 9, 2022 |
| Crystal Palace | Leeds | 1 - 1 | July 22, 2022 |
| Crystal Palace | Leeds | 0 - 0 | April 25, 2022 |
Leeds Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Newcastle | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 6 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Brighton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Brentford | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 1 | Win |
Crystal Palace Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | Lech Poznan | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Ipswich | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Middlesbrough | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Fulham | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Manchester City | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Everton | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that both Leeds and Crystal Palace will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Leeds to win
This prediction indicates that Leeds has a 58.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.93 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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