Premier League
Match Analysis
Newcastle
Hull City
Newcastle
L
W
D
W
W
D
Hull City
D
L
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Newcastle and Hull City have a history where Newcastle has usually come out on top, adding to the confidence in their position. The model predicts a home win with a 62% probability, which aligns closely with the market's view since the odds also strongly favor Newcastle. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score (54%) and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals (57% and 59% respectively), both of which are also supported by the market odds. These predictions reflect Newcastle's clear quality advantage and strong recent form, despite Hull City's rest advantage and the even recent shot volume between the sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | Newcastle | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2024 |
| Hull City | Newcastle | 0 - 0 | November 29, 2016 |
| Hull City | Newcastle | 0 - 3 | January 31, 2015 |
| Newcastle | Hull City | 2 - 2 | September 20, 2014 |
| Hull City | Newcastle | 1 - 4 | March 1, 2014 |
| Newcastle | Hull City | 2 - 3 | September 21, 2013 |
Newcastle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | Leeds | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Millwall | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Bournemouth | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Tottenham | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | West Brom | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Liverpool | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Hull City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Sunderland | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Aston Villa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Coventry | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Stoke City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Manchester United | 2 - 0 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.42% likelihood that both Newcastle and Hull City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Newcastle to win
This prediction indicates that Newcastle has a 61.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.97 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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