Premier League
Match Analysis
Everton
Ipswich
Everton
W
D
D
D
W
W
Ipswich
L
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts Everton will win with a 57% probability. This outlook is influenced by the clear quality gap favoring Everton, despite both teams showing moderate recent form and having similar rest. The market odds imply a slightly lower chance of an Everton win, as they are priced at 1.81, suggesting the model is a bit more confident in the home side than typical betting lines. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning somewhat with the market odds, which also favor these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Ipswich | 2 - 2 | May 3, 2025 |
| Ipswich | Everton | 0 - 2 | October 19, 2024 |
Everton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Wolves | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Manchester United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Bournemouth | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Preston | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | Win |
Ipswich Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Arsenal | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Manchester United | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Leicester | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 2 - 1 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.92% likelihood that both Everton and Ipswich will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Everton to win
This prediction indicates that Everton has a 56.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.38 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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