DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Vatanspor
FC Nordsjaelland
Vatanspor
D
W
L
L
W
L
FC Nordsjaelland
W
D
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for FC Nordsjaelland with a 53% probability. The prediction leans toward FC Nordsjaelland due to a clear quality gap in their favor and stronger recent form compared to Vatanspor. Despite Vatanspor having a rest advantage and showing strong attacking form recently, these factors are outweighed by the overall better performance and quality of FC Nordsjaelland. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 2.5 goals, indicating a potentially high-scoring game.
Vatanspor Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Aalborg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Nørresundby | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 24 | Home | Aarhus Fremad | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 1, 22 | Home | Aarhus | 0 - 8 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 22 | Home | Lyseng | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 8, 20 | Home | Aarhus Fremad | 1 - 5 | Loss |
FC Nordsjaelland Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Aarhus | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | FC Midtjylland | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 3, 26 | Away | FC Copenhagen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Brondby | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | FC ST. Gallen | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Sonderjyske | 0 - 3 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.46% likelihood that both Vatanspor and FC Nordsjaelland will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
FC Nordsjaelland to win
This prediction indicates that FC Nordsjaelland has a 52.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.75 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments