Superettan
Match Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
IK brage
Varbergs BoIS FC
W
L
D
W
L
D
IK brage
D
D
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Varbergs BoIS FC with a 57% probability. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Varbergs BoIS and notes their moderate recent form, compared to IK brage's poor form. However, it also acknowledges that IK brage has dominated recent meetings between the two teams. The model's confidence in a home win is somewhat lower than what the market odds imply, which favor the home side even more strongly.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| IK brage | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2 - 2 | April 26, 2026 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | IK brage | 1 - 2 | November 1, 2025 |
| IK brage | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1 - 1 | April 13, 2025 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | IK brage | 0 - 1 | September 22, 2024 |
| IK brage | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1 - 0 | April 1, 2024 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | IK brage | 0 - 0 | August 19, 2019 |
Varbergs BoIS FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | Norrby IF | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | IFK Norrkoping | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | IFK Varnamo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Oddevold | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Orebro SK | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | United Nordic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
IK brage Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Sandviken | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Ostersunds FK | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | GIF Sundsvall | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | falkenbergs FF | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | United Nordic | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Orebro SK | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Superettan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 41 |
| 15 | IK brage | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 23 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.77% likelihood that both Varbergs BoIS FC and IK brage will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Varbergs BoIS FC to win
This prediction indicates that Varbergs BoIS FC has a 56.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.26 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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