Superettan
Match Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Norrkoping
Varbergs BoIS FC
D
W
L
D
L
W
IFK Norrkoping
D
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, IFK Norrkoping has been the stronger side in matchups against Varbergs BoIS FC, often coming out on top. The model predicts an away win with a 45% probability, noting that IFK Norrkoping has a clear quality gap and stronger recent form compared to Varbergs BoIS FC, despite similar rest for both teams. The market odds also lean towards an away win, suggesting a similar level of confidence to the model's view. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of more than one goal being scored, with a 54% probability for 'over' on the under/over 1.5 goals line—much higher than what the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Norrkoping | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| IFK Norrkoping | Varbergs BoIS FC | 4 - 3 | November 6, 2023 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | IFK Norrkoping | 1 - 3 | May 13, 2023 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | IFK Norrkoping | 1 - 1 | August 28, 2022 |
| IFK Norrkoping | Varbergs BoIS FC | 0 - 1 | April 3, 2022 |
| IFK Norrkoping | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2 - 1 | September 26, 2021 |
Varbergs BoIS FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | IFK Varnamo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Oddevold | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Orebro SK | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | United Nordic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Sandviken | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | falkenbergs FF | 2 - 1 | Win |
IFK Norrkoping Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | ljungSKile SK | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | United Nordic | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | falkenbergs FF | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sandviken | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | IK brage | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Helsingborg | 2 - 0 | Win |
Superettan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 15 | +28 | 48 |
| 2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 28 | +11 | 38 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.35% likelihood that both Varbergs BoIS FC and IFK Norrkoping will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
IFK Norrkoping to win
This prediction indicates that IFK Norrkoping has a 45.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.79 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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