DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Sundby
FC Midtjylland
Sundby
D
W
W
L
L
D
FC Midtjylland
D
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
FC Midtjylland is seen as the stronger side in this match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and stronger recent form, despite Sundby having a rest advantage. The model predicts an away win with a 61% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects goals to flow, predicting both teams to score and both over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, with probabilities of 61%, 66%, and 71% respectively—all leaning towards more goals than the market odds imply.
Sundby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Frederikssund | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Slagelse B&I | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Ringsted | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Fremad Amager | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Nykobing FC | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Feb 14, 26 | Away | Fremad Amager | 1 - 1 | Draw |
FC Midtjylland Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Aarhus | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Silkeborg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Randers FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | HNK Rijeka | 2 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.28% likelihood that both Sundby and FC Midtjylland will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
FC Midtjylland to win
This prediction indicates that FC Midtjylland has a 61.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.23 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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