DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Skjold Sæby
Aarhus
Skjold Sæby
W
W
L
W
D
L
Aarhus
L
D
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Aarhus with a 53% probability. Despite Aarhus having poor recent form, they are considered to have a clear quality gap in their favor over Skjold Sæby. However, Skjold Sæby have moderate recent form and come in with a rest advantage, which may help them. The model also suggests that both teams are likely to score and that the match will see more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, reflecting an expectation of a dynamic game despite the uncertainties in current form.
Skjold Sæby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Espergærde | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Maribo | 0 - 6 | Win |
| Sep 3, 25 | Away | Ringsted | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 25 | Away | LUIF | 0 - 7 | Win |
| Feb 15, 25 | Away | Holbæk B&I | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Feb 1, 25 | Away | FA 2000 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Aarhus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Silkeborg | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | FC Midtjylland | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Randers FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Benfica | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Odense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.67% likelihood that both Skjold Sæby and Aarhus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Aarhus to win
This prediction indicates that Aarhus has a 53.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.07 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments