UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
PSV Eindhoven
Shakhtar Donetsk
PSV Eindhoven
W
W
W
W
D
W
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
L
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for PSV Eindhoven with a 66% probability. The model sees PSV's clear quality gap and stronger recent form as key reasons for this prediction. The market odds also reflect a strong favor towards PSV, aligning closely with the model's view. Additionally, the model expects over 1.5 goals to be scored with a 67% probability, suggesting it agrees with the market's strong inclination towards a game with at least two goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 - 2 | November 27, 2024 |
PSV Eindhoven Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Ajax | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Utrecht | 1 - 6 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Groningen | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Excelsior | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Fortuna Sittard | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | FC Eindhoven | 3 - 0 | Win |
Shakhtar Donetsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Karpaty | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Polessya | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Kudrivka | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Bursaspor | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.82% likelihood that both PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.PSV Eindhoven to win
This prediction indicates that PSV Eindhoven has a 65.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.61 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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Odds Comparison
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