Superettan
Match Analysis
Oddevold
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
D
W
W
L
W
D
IFK Varnamo
L
W
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Oddevold is seen as the stronger side heading into this match, with better recent form and a rest advantage. However, IFK Varnamo have a history of scoring in games against Oddevold and have been creating many chances lately, despite defensive issues. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also suggests that both teams are likely to score and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the game, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Varnamo | Oddevold | 3 - 1 | April 26, 2026 |
| IFK Varnamo | Oddevold | 1 - 0 | August 31, 2019 |
| Oddevold | IFK Varnamo | 3 - 1 | June 24, 2019 |
Oddevold Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | IFK Norrkoping | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Sandviken | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | falkenbergs FF | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Varbergs BoIS FC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Helsingborg | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Landskrona BoIS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
IFK Varnamo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Osters IF | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | United Nordic | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | ljungSKile SK | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Landskrona BoIS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Ostersunds FK | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Superettan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Oddevold | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 37 | 32 | +5 | 36 |
| 12 | IFK Varnamo | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.74% likelihood that both Oddevold and IFK Varnamo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Oddevold to win
This prediction indicates that Oddevold has a 44.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.89 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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