DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Næsby
AC Horsens
Næsby
W
W
L
W
D
W
AC Horsens
L
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Næsby have been in strong recent form and come into the match with a rest advantage, while AC Horsens have only moderate recent form. However, AC Horsens are seen as the clearly better side overall due to a significant quality gap in their favor. The model predicts an away win with a 49% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals, aligning with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Næsby | AC Horsens | 1 - 2 | August 12, 2025 |
| Næsby | AC Horsens | 0 - 3 | October 7, 2020 |
Næsby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Munkebo | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Kolding B | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Middelfart | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Skive | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Feb 28, 26 | Away | Marienlyst | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Feb 21, 26 | Away | Tarup-Paarup | 0 - 6 | Win |
AC Horsens Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | FC Copenhagen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Sonderjyske | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Lyseng | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Viborg | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Lyngby | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Odense | 1 - 2 | Win |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that both Næsby and AC Horsens will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
AC Horsens to win
This prediction indicates that AC Horsens has a 48.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.07 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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