Premier League
Match Analysis
Manama
Al Riffa
Manama
D
L
W
W
D
L
Al Riffa
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Manama have had moderate form recently, while Al Riffa arrive in strong form. The model predicts an away win with a 63% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Al Riffa. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of more than one goal being scored (56% over for Under/Over 1.5) and slightly favors over 2.5 goals (54% over), views that are somewhat more optimistic than what the odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riffa | Manama | 5 - 1 | April 22, 2025 |
| Manama | Al Riffa | 0 - 0 | October 28, 2024 |
Manama Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | A'Ali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Al Najma | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Home | Al Ittihad | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Budaiya | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 25, 25 | Home | Al Najma | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 20, 25 | Away | Bahrain SC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Al Riffa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Bahrain SC | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Malkiya | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 5, 26 | Home | Al Shabab | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 29, 26 | Away | Al Ahli | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 17, 26 | Home | A'Ali | 1 - 0 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Riffa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Manama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Al Riffa to win
This prediction indicates that Al Riffa has a 62.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.29 %Most Likely Scorelines
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