Superettan
Match Analysis
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
IFK Varnamo
W
D
W
D
D
W
Osters IF
L
L
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both IFK Varnamo and Osters IF are showing moderate recent form, with neither side clearly outplaying the other. Despite Osters IF having a modest quality edge and having dominated recent meetings between the two teams, the model predicts a home win with a 45% probability. The market odds suggest a close contest, making the model's confidence in a home win somewhat higher than what the odds imply. The model also sees a good chance for both teams to score and for there to be more than one goal overall, aligning with odds that strongly favor these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osters IF | IFK Varnamo | 3 - 0 | June 9, 2026 |
| Osters IF | IFK Varnamo | 4 - 3 | September 14, 2025 |
| IFK Varnamo | Osters IF | 1 - 1 | May 24, 2025 |
| IFK Varnamo | Osters IF | 3 - 1 | February 10, 2024 |
| Osters IF | IFK Varnamo | 0 - 1 | February 25, 2023 |
| Osters IF | IFK Varnamo | 2 - 0 | September 12, 2021 |
IFK Varnamo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | United Nordic | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | ljungSKile SK | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Landskrona BoIS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Ostersunds FK | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | Helsingborg | 1 - 2 | Win |
Osters IF Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | falkenbergs FF | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | United Nordic | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Sandviken | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | GIF Sundsvall | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | ljungSKile SK | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Landskrona BoIS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Superettan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Osters IF | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | IFK Varnamo | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.14% likelihood that both IFK Varnamo and Osters IF will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.IFK Varnamo to win
This prediction indicates that IFK Varnamo has a 45.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.84 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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