DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Hørsholm-Usserød
Aarhus Fremad
Hørsholm-Usserød
W
W
D
D
D
W
Aarhus Fremad
D
W
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Aarhus Fremad with a 48% probability, suggesting the match is fairly balanced but slightly favoring the visitors. The market odds also reflect this, showing a strong preference for Aarhus Fremad with shorter odds for their win. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score (56%) and that there will be more than one goal in the game (57%), aligning with the strong attacking form of Aarhus Fremad and the moderate recent form of both sides. The notable rest advantage for Hørsholm-Usserød might help them to contribute to a competitive match.
Hørsholm-Usserød Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | FC Helsingor | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Føroyar | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Roskilde | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Ringsted | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Ishøj | 2 - 1 | Win |
Aarhus Fremad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Vendsyssel FF | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Kolding IF | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Vejle | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | SGI | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | FC Fredericia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Hillerød | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.73% likelihood that both Hørsholm-Usserød and Aarhus Fremad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Aarhus Fremad to win
This prediction indicates that Aarhus Fremad has a 47.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.74 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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