DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
HIK
Esbjerg
HIK
L
W
L
W
L
W
Esbjerg
D
L
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Esbjerg despite their recent poor form. However, the model predicts an away win with a 48% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market’s view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIK | Esbjerg | 1 - 4 | November 18, 2023 |
| Esbjerg | HIK | 7 - 0 | October 8, 2023 |
| HIK | Esbjerg | 1 - 0 | March 17, 2023 |
| Esbjerg | HIK | 4 - 0 | September 11, 2022 |
HIK Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Fremad Amager | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Brabrand | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Middelfart | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | NB Bornholm | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | B 93 | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | FA 2000 | 2 - 1 | Win |
Esbjerg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | HB Koge | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | FC Fredericia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Vendsyssel FF | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Skive | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Vejle | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Hobro | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.23% likelihood that both HIK and Esbjerg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Esbjerg to win
This prediction indicates that Esbjerg has a 48.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.28 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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