Superettan
Match Analysis
falkenbergs FF
Ostersunds FK
falkenbergs FF
W
W
L
W
L
W
Ostersunds FK
W
D
W
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Falkenbergs FF is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, which gives them an edge despite Ostersunds FK's history of dominating past encounters and scoring plenty of goals in those games. The model predicts a home win with a 39% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than one or two goals in the game, aligning fairly closely with the market's view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ostersunds FK | falkenbergs FF | 2 - 2 | May 9, 2026 |
| falkenbergs FF | Ostersunds FK | 4 - 0 | September 28, 2025 |
| Ostersunds FK | falkenbergs FF | 3 - 1 | July 19, 2025 |
| Ostersunds FK | falkenbergs FF | 2 - 0 | November 13, 2022 |
| falkenbergs FF | Ostersunds FK | 1 - 1 | November 10, 2022 |
| Ostersunds FK | falkenbergs FF | 2 - 1 | August 29, 2020 |
falkenbergs FF Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | ljungSKile SK | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Osters IF | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Oddevold | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | IK brage | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | IFK Norrkoping | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Norrby IF | 2 - 0 | Win |
Ostersunds FK Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Helsingborg | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | IK brage | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Orebro SK | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Landskrona BoIS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | ljungSKile SK | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | IFK Varnamo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Superettan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | falkenbergs FF | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 33 | +13 | 44 |
| 3 | Ostersunds FK | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 24 | +9 | 42 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.04% likelihood that both falkenbergs FF and Ostersunds FK will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.falkenbergs FF or Ostersunds FK to win
This prediction indicates that falkenbergs FF has a 39.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.80 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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