Premier League
Match Analysis
Al Najma
East Riffa
Al Najma
W
L
W
W
W
L
East Riffa
D
L
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Al Najma have shown strong recent form, while East Riffa have struggled in their recent matches. The model predicts a home win with a 36% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest for Al Najma. Additionally, the model sees a modest quality edge for Al Najma and believes goals may be limited, leaning towards fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma | East Riffa | 1 - 1 | April 16, 2025 |
| East Riffa | Al Najma | 2 - 4 | October 2, 2024 |
Al Najma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Malkiya | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Khalidiya | 2 - 7 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Manama | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 25, 26 | Away | Budaiya | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Al Ittihad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Khalidiya | 1 - 3 | Loss |
East Riffa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Sitra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Al-Hidd | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 26, 25 | Home | Al Shabab | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 21, 25 | Away | Muharraq | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 25 | Away | A'Ali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 12, 25 | Home | Al Ahli | 1 - 0 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Najma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | East Riffa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Al Najma to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Al Najma has a 35.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.05 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments