Premier League
Match Analysis
Al Ahli
Al Ittifaq Maqaba
Al Ahli
W
D
D
L
W
L
Al Ittifaq Maqaba
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Al Ahli come into the match with moderate recent form, while Al Ittifaq Maqaba have struggled recently, especially defensively. Despite the two sides being closely matched in overall quality and having similar rest, the model predicts a home win with a 49% probability. The model's confidence in a home victory aligns roughly with the idea that Al Ahli's better recent form, combined with Al Ittifaq Maqaba's defensive issues, gives the home side an edge, even though the teams are otherwise evenly matched.
Al Ahli Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Al-Hidd | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Muharraq | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Budaiya | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Al-Hidd | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 5, 26 | Away | Sitra | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 29, 26 | Home | Al Riffa | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Al Ittifaq Maqaba Form (Last 2 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Muharraq | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Al Riffa | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Ahli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Al Ahli to win
This prediction indicates that Al Ahli has a 48.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.16 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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