Superettan
Match Analysis
Varbergs BoIS FC
falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
L
W
W
W
L
L
falkenbergs FF
W
L
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model leans toward a Varbergs home win despite Falkenbergs' modest quality edge, largely because Varbergs has dominated their recent head-to-head meetings. Both teams show moderate recent form with similar rest, but Falkenbergs' strong attacking form combined with Varbergs' competitive home record suggests goals are likely—the model forecasts over 1.5 goals as a standout feature, with both teams scoring in majority of scenarios. The match is flagged as particularly likely to see over 1.5 goals, making it the most confident single prediction from the model.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| falkenbergs FF | Varbergs BoIS FC | 0 - 3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | falkenbergs FF | 3 - 2 | August 30, 2025 |
| falkenbergs FF | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2 - 2 | March 29, 2025 |
| falkenbergs FF | Varbergs BoIS FC | 0 - 3 | February 10, 2024 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | falkenbergs FF | 1 - 1 | January 28, 2023 |
| falkenbergs FF | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2 - 0 | September 17, 2020 |
Varbergs BoIS FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Osters IF | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Oddevold | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Norrby IF | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Osters IF | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Landskrona BoIS | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 15, 26 | Away | IFK Norrkoping | 2 - 0 | Loss |
falkenbergs FF Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | GIF Sundsvall | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Helsingborg | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Laholm | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Landskrona BoIS | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | IK brage | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Osters IF | 1 - 3 | Win |
Superettan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | falkenbergs FF | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 22 | +10 | 30 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.41% likelihood that both Varbergs BoIS FC and falkenbergs FF will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Varbergs BoIS FC to win
This prediction indicates that Varbergs BoIS FC has a 45.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.53 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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