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Division 2 - Södra Svealand logo

Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Aug. 1, 2026 3 days, 4 hours ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Smedby Örebro Syrianska
Smedby L L W L D W
Örebro Syrianska L W L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Smedby are favoured to win at home, backed by a modest quality edge and a notable rest advantage, though their poor recent form tempers expectations slightly. The prediction leans toward a goal-heavy match: Örebro Syrianska's recent defensive struggles make both teams scoring likely, and the model expects over 2.5 goals overall—a lean supported by Smedby's fresher condition and the away side's vulnerability at the back. The over/Under 1.5 goals line is flagged as particularly compelling given these attacking conditions.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Örebro Syrianska Smedby 2 - 1 June 7, 2026

Smedby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 24, 26 Away Sylvia 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Haninge 1 - 4 Loss
Jun 15, 26 Away Nyköping 0 - 1 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Örebro Syrianska 2 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Farsta 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Syrianska FC 4 - 0 Win

Örebro Syrianska Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Away IF Karlstad 4 - 1 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home Syrianska FC 3 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Sylvia 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Haninge 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Smedby 2 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away Sleipner 1 - 0 Loss

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Smedby 14 7 2 5 29 21 +8 23
9 Örebro Syrianska 14 5 1 8 16 16 0 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.37% likelihood that both Smedby and Örebro Syrianska will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Smedby to win
This prediction indicates that Smedby has a 53.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.05 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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