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Division 2 - Södra Svealand logo

Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Aug. 2, 2026 2 days ago
4 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sleipner Karlslund
Sleipner L D D W W L
Karlslund D W D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Sleipner has dominated Karlslund in their meetings, and those games have usually featured plenty of goals. The model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also leans towards both teams scoring and towards there being more than one goal in the match, seeing these outcomes as likely given Sleipner's quality advantage and Karlslund's recent defensive issues.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Karlslund Sleipner 1 - 3 June 7, 2026
Karlslund Sleipner 2 - 3 July 29, 2023
Sleipner Karlslund 3 - 1 April 7, 2023

Sleipner Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Haninge 6 - 1 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Home Nyköping 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Rågsved 4 - 4 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Away Karlslund 1 - 3 Win
May 31, 26 Home Örebro Syrianska 1 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Eker Örebro 3 - 2 Loss

Karlslund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Fittja 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Home Farsta 1 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Forward 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Fittja 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Sleipner 1 - 3 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Syrianska FC 3 - 2 Loss

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Sleipner 14 7 4 3 26 26 0 25
13 Karlslund 14 3 4 7 15 23 -8 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.55% likelihood that both Sleipner and Karlslund will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sleipner to win
This prediction indicates that Sleipner has a 59.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.33 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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