Super League
Match Analysis
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
D
L
W
L
L
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
W
D
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Sichuan Jiuniu and Chongqing Tongliang Long are in poor recent form, making this a tough match to call. Despite Chongqing having a modest quality edge, Sichuan Jiuniu have been creating more shooting chances lately, though they’ve had defensive struggles. The model predicts a home win with a 39% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward ‘over’ for 1.5 goals at 55%, aligning with the market’s clear favor for a higher-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Sichuan Jiuniu | 2 - 0 | April 17, 2026 |
Sichuan Jiuniu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Yunnan Yukun | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Wuhan Three Towns | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Qingdao Youth Island | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Tianjin Teda | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Chengdu Better City | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Chongqing Tongliang Long Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Wuhan Three Towns | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Qingdao Youth Island | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Hangzhou Greentown | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Chengdu Better City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Shenyang Urban | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Tianjin Teda | 1 - 0 | Win |
Super League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 29 |
| 16 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 20 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Sichuan Jiuniu or Chongqing Tongliang Long to win
This prediction indicates that Sichuan Jiuniu has a 39.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.39 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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