Super League
Shanghai SIPG are favored to win at home, holding a modest quality advantage and having dominated recent meetings against Shandong Luneng, though the prediction is relatively close at 52% rather than a strong conviction. The model expects a goalfest, with a 70% lean toward over 2.5 goals—reflecting that recent clashes between these teams have been high-scoring affairs and both sides are likely to have chances. Both teams scoring appears likely at 68%, driven by Shanghai's attacking edge and Shandong's vulnerability in defense during their recent poor form. The odds on over 1.5 goals (64% probability) are particularly attractive relative to the market price, making that the flagged betting opportunity.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 - 1 | April 17, 2026 |
| Shandong Luneng | SHANGHAI SIPG | 3 - 1 | October 26, 2025 |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | Shandong Luneng | 1 - 1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Shandong Luneng | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 - 3 | November 23, 2024 |
| Shandong Luneng | SHANGHAI SIPG | 0 - 1 | August 3, 2024 |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | Shandong Luneng | 4 - 3 | April 14, 2024 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Sichuan Jiuniu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Yunnan Yukun | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Qingdao Youth Island | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Henan Jianye | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Shanghai Second | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Henan Jianye | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Wuhan Three Towns | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Dalian Zhixing | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Yunnan Yukun | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Beijing Guoan | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Shenyang Urban | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shandong Luneng | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 26 | +4 | 24 |
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