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Super League

Aug. 1, 2026 3 days, 2 hours ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

SHANGHAI SIPG Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG W D D L W W
Shandong Luneng L D L W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Shanghai SIPG are favored to win at home, holding a modest quality advantage and having dominated recent meetings against Shandong Luneng, though the prediction is relatively close at 52% rather than a strong conviction. The model expects a goalfest, with a 70% lean toward over 2.5 goals—reflecting that recent clashes between these teams have been high-scoring affairs and both sides are likely to have chances. Both teams scoring appears likely at 68%, driven by Shanghai's attacking edge and Shandong's vulnerability in defense during their recent poor form. The odds on over 1.5 goals (64% probability) are particularly attractive relative to the market price, making that the flagged betting opportunity.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Shandong Luneng SHANGHAI SIPG 1 - 1 April 17, 2026
Shandong Luneng SHANGHAI SIPG 3 - 1 October 26, 2025
SHANGHAI SIPG Shandong Luneng 1 - 1 May 17, 2025
Shandong Luneng SHANGHAI SIPG 1 - 3 November 23, 2024
Shandong Luneng SHANGHAI SIPG 0 - 1 August 3, 2024
SHANGHAI SIPG Shandong Luneng 4 - 3 April 14, 2024

SHANGHAI SIPG Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Shanghai Shenhua 2 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Sichuan Jiuniu 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Away Yunnan Yukun 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Qingdao Youth Island 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Henan Jianye 1 - 2 Win
Jun 19, 26 Away Shanghai Second 1 - 2 Win

Shandong Luneng Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Home Henan Jianye 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Wuhan Three Towns 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Dalian Zhixing 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Yunnan Yukun 4 - 3 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Beijing Guoan 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Shenyang Urban 1 - 5 Win

Super League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Shandong Luneng 20 9 3 8 36 36 0 30
11 SHANGHAI SIPG 19 6 6 7 30 26 +4 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.01% likelihood that both SHANGHAI SIPG and Shandong Luneng will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
SHANGHAI SIPG to win
This prediction indicates that SHANGHAI SIPG has a 51.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.53 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks
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Odds Comparison
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