Super League
Match Analysis
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Youth Island
W
L
D
L
W
W
Qingdao Jonoon
L
L
L
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Qingdao Youth Island and Qingdao Jonoon have often ended in draws, but the current prediction leans toward a home win for Qingdao Youth Island with a 53% probability. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring the home side, and notes that Qingdao Youth Island have moderate recent form while Qingdao Jonoon have poor recent form. The market odds suggest a slightly stronger belief in a home win than the model does, and they also indicate more confidence than the model in the match staying under 1.5 goals. The model also predicts a 57% chance that both teams will score and a 55% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon | Qingdao Youth Island | 0 - 0 | April 17, 2026 |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Qingdao Jonoon | 1 - 0 | June 29, 2025 |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Qingdao Youth Island | 2 - 2 | February 23, 2025 |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Qingdao Youth Island | 3 - 1 | July 7, 2024 |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Qingdao Jonoon | 1 - 0 | March 30, 2024 |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Qingdao Youth Island | 1 - 1 | November 24, 2022 |
Qingdao Youth Island Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Shenyang Urban | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Chengdu Better City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Sichuan Jiuniu | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Hangzhou Greentown | 3 - 1 | Win |
Qingdao Jonoon Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Tianjin Teda | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Shanghai Shenhua | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Henan Jianye | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Hangzhou Greentown | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Chengdu Better City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Yunnan Yukun | 4 - 2 | Win |
Super League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Qingdao Youth Island | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 21 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Qingdao Youth Island to win
This prediction indicates that Qingdao Youth Island has a 52.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.76 %Most Likely Scorelines
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