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Division 2 - Södra Svealand logo

Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Aug. 1, 2026 3 days, 2 hours ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Nacka Iliria Sylvia
Nacka Iliria L L L L L L
Sylvia W W W L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Sylvia are favored as the stronger team with better recent form, and the model gives them a 58% chance to win away from home. However, the fixture leans toward a goal-heavy encounter: recent meetings between these sides have been competitive and open, with both teams likely to score and the match probably producing at least three goals total, which the model rates at 65% likelihood. The model is most confident about there being over 1.5 goals, reflecting Sylvia's quality advantage combined with the historical pattern of entertaining, goalful clashes between these two.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sylvia Nacka Iliria 4 - 0 June 14, 2026
Nacka Iliria Sylvia 2 - 2 September 1, 2024
Sylvia Nacka Iliria 2 - 2 May 4, 2024

Nacka Iliria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Away Nyköping 4 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Eker Örebro 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Sylvia 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Haninge 1 - 5 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Nyköping 0 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Karlslund 2 - 1 Loss

Sylvia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 24, 26 Home Smedby 2 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Örebro Syrianska 0 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Nacka Iliria 4 - 0 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Rågsved 4 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Fittja 3 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Forward 2 - 4 Loss

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Sylvia 14 5 1 8 21 23 -2 16
14 Nacka Iliria 14 2 1 11 13 33 -20 7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.12% likelihood that both Nacka Iliria and Sylvia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Sylvia to win
This prediction indicates that Sylvia has a 57.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.33 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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