Cup
Match Analysis
Karlovy Vary
Chomutov
Karlovy Vary
L
L
W
L
L
W
Chomutov
L
L
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Karlovy Vary holds a modest quality edge over Chomutov, but both teams are in poor recent form and have struggled defensively. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which aligns with Karlovy Vary’s historical dominance in recent meetings and their rest advantage. Additionally, the model sees a high likelihood of goals, with a 60% chance both teams will score, a 63% chance of over 1.5 goals, and a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting the defensive weaknesses of both sides and the trend of high-scoring games in their past encounters.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karlovy Vary | Chomutov | 5 - 1 | September 11, 2024 |
| Karlovy Vary | Chomutov | 4 - 0 | January 27, 2024 |
| Chomutov | Karlovy Vary | 4 - 1 | August 17, 2022 |
Karlovy Vary Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 26 | Away | Ústí nad Labem | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| Feb 14, 26 | Home | Křimice | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Jan 24, 26 | Home | Tachov | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jan 17, 26 | Home | Sokol Hostouň | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 24, 25 | Home | Sparta Praha | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 25 | Home | Baník Souš | 3 - 0 | Win |
Chomutov Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Dukla Praha II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Kladno | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Ústí nad Labem II | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Feb 14, 26 | Away | Ústí nad Labem | 7 - 1 | Loss |
| Jan 17, 26 | Away | Baník Souš | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 25 | Home | Admira Praha | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.26% likelihood that both Karlovy Vary and Chomutov will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Karlovy Vary to win
This prediction indicates that Karlovy Vary has a 48.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.37 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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