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Division 2 - Västra Götaland logo

Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Aug. 1, 2026 2 days, 22 hours ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Hestrafor Åstorp
Hestrafor W W L D W W
Åstorp D L L D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Hestrafor edge this matchup mainly due to their strong recent form compared to Åstorp's poor form, though the teams are closely matched in overall quality and both sides have similar rest, keeping it competitive. The model leans toward a home win at 50%, but expects goals from both teams—reflected in a 62% probability of both sides scoring—with a particularly high likelihood (64%) of the match going over 2.5 goals. The history of level results between them suggests chances for both sides, supporting the expectation of a goal-heavy encounter rather than a one-sided affair.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Åstorp Hestrafor 0 - 2 April 12, 2026
Hestrafor Åstorp 1 - 1 August 30, 2025
Åstorp Hestrafor 2 - 2 June 15, 2025

Hestrafor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Astrio 1 - 2 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Kongahälla 0 - 3 Win
Jun 11, 26 Home Dalstorps 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Torslanda 2 - 2 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Böljan 3 - 1 Win
May 22, 26 Home Jonsered 5 - 1 Win

Åstorp Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Torslanda 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 18, 26 Away Lindome 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Landvetter IS 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Qviding FIF 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Kongahälla 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Home Västra Frölunda 0 - 3 Loss

Division 2 - Västra Götaland Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Hestrafor 14 7 2 5 29 25 +4 23
11 Åstorp 14 3 5 6 18 27 -9 14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.03% likelihood that both Hestrafor and Åstorp will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Hestrafor to win
This prediction indicates that Hestrafor has a 50.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.62 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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