Allsvenskan
Match Analysis
Halmstad
Sirius
Halmstad
D
L
L
L
D
D
Sirius
W
W
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Sirius with a 75% probability, reflecting a clear quality gap favoring Sirius and their strong recent form compared to Halmstad's poor form. The market odds also suggest a strong favor for Sirius, aligning closely with the model's high confidence. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of over 1.5 goals (68%), noting Halmstad's recent defensive issues and Sirius's ability to create more chances, which supports the view that both teams are likely to score.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | Sirius | 0 - 1 | August 9, 2025 |
| Sirius | Halmstad | 1 - 1 | April 27, 2025 |
| Halmstad | Sirius | 3 - 1 | October 19, 2024 |
| Sirius | Halmstad | 3 - 0 | April 1, 2024 |
| Halmstad | Sirius | 2 - 1 | September 2, 2023 |
| Sirius | Halmstad | 1 - 2 | May 21, 2023 |
Halmstad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Gais | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | BK Hacken | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Djurgardens IF | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Vasteras SK FK | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Mjallby AIF | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Gais | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Sirius Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | IFK Goteborg | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | IF Elfsborg | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | IF Brommapojkarna | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Mjallby AIF | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Djurgardens IF | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | AIK Stockholm | 0 - 3 | Win |
Allsvenskan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 40 | 17 | +23 | 38 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.2% likelihood that both Halmstad and Sirius will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Sirius to win
This prediction indicates that Sirius has a 74.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 12.48 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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