Super League
Match Analysis
Grasshoppers
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
D
L
L
L
W
W
FC Lugano
W
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Grasshoppers have struggled with poor recent form, while FC Lugano have been performing strongly. The model also sees a clear quality gap favoring FC Lugano. The model predicts an away win with a 53% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for there to be over 1.5 goals, aligning with the odds but showing slightly more confidence in these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers | FC Lugano | 1 - 0 | March 1, 2026 |
| Grasshoppers | FC Lugano | 1 - 1 | January 31, 2026 |
| FC Lugano | Grasshoppers | 2 - 1 | September 27, 2025 |
| FC Lugano | Grasshoppers | 1 - 1 | February 8, 2025 |
| Grasshoppers | FC Lugano | 1 - 1 | October 31, 2024 |
| FC Lugano | Grasshoppers | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2024 |
Grasshoppers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Lausanne | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | SCR Altach | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Panathinaikos | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | FC WIL 1900 | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Cham | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Kreuzlingen | 0 - 4 | Win |
FC Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Dukagjini | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | FC Vaduz | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Dukagjini | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | FC Vaduz | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | FC Heidenheim | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | Memmingen | 0 - 4 | Win |
Super League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that both Grasshoppers and FC Lugano will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
FC Lugano to win
This prediction indicates that FC Lugano has a 53.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.00 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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