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Division 2 - Södra Svealand logo

Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Aug. 2, 2026 2 days, 1 hour ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Forward Nyköping
Forward W W D W L W
Nyköping L W D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Forward with a 38% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. The model sees Forward as having stronger recent form, a history of dominating Nyköping in past games, and coming into this match well-rested, despite the two teams being closely matched overall. The model also expects both teams to score and for the game to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the recent trend of high-scoring matches between these sides and reflecting Forward's attacking edge.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nyköping Forward 2 - 0 April 26, 2026
Forward Nyköping 3 - 0 October 11, 2025
Nyköping Forward 1 - 3 June 1, 2025
Forward Nyköping 2 - 4 August 24, 2019
Nyköping Forward 1 - 3 June 3, 2019
Nyköping Forward 1 - 1 September 22, 2018

Forward Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away Rågsved 1 - 2 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Fittja 3 - 1 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Karlslund 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Away Syrianska FC 0 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Farsta 2 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Rågsved 4 - 3 Win

Nyköping Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 22, 26 Away AFC Eskilstuna 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 25, 26 Home Nacka Iliria 4 - 1 Win
Jun 22, 26 Away Sleipner 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 15, 26 Home Smedby 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Fittja 0 - 2 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Nacka Iliria 0 - 2 Win

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Nyköping 14 9 2 3 27 12 +15 29
2 Forward 14 9 2 3 29 18 +11 29

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.45% likelihood that both Forward and Nyköping will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Forward or Nyköping to win
This prediction indicates that Forward has a 37.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.72 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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