Super League
Match Analysis
FC Vaduz
FC ST. Gallen
FC Vaduz
W
L
W
W
L
W
FC ST. Gallen
L
W
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for FC ST. Gallen with a 44% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring FC ST. Gallen, although both teams have moderate recent form and similar rest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score (61% probability) and for the match to have over 1.5 goals (67% probability), viewing this as a sure tip despite the market strongly favoring this outcome as well. The model also anticipates over 2.5 goals (61% probability), aligning with but showing slightly less confidence than the market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vaduz | FC ST. Gallen | 0 - 1 | July 13, 2024 |
| FC ST. Gallen | FC Vaduz | 1 - 0 | April 24, 2021 |
| FC Vaduz | FC ST. Gallen | 2 - 1 | February 20, 2021 |
| FC ST. Gallen | FC Vaduz | 2 - 0 | January 20, 2021 |
| FC Vaduz | FC ST. Gallen | 0 - 1 | September 27, 2020 |
| FC ST. Gallen | FC Vaduz | 2 - 0 | May 13, 2017 |
FC Vaduz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | FC Lugano | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | SCR Altach | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Austria Lustenau | 1 - 0 | Win |
FC ST. Gallen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Benfica | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | FC Zurich | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Benfica | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Norwich | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Lyon | 6 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | FC Winterthur | 0 - 1 | Win |
Super League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC ST. Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.31% likelihood that both FC Vaduz and FC ST. Gallen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
FC ST. Gallen to win
This prediction indicates that FC ST. Gallen has a 43.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.74 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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