Super League
Match Analysis
FC Basel 1893
Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
W
D
D
L
W
L
Lausanne
L
D
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Basel holds a slight quality advantage and comes into this match better rested than Lausanne, which supports the model's lean toward a home win at 55%. However, recent head-to-head meetings have typically been close and goal-heavy affairs, and both teams are in moderate form, which explains why the model sees a strong chance of both sides scoring and the match producing over 2.5 goals. The combination of Basel's edge, their rest advantage, and the historically open nature of this fixture suggests a relatively entertaining match with multiple goals and a slight home bias.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lausanne | FC Basel 1893 | 1 - 2 | March 1, 2026 |
| FC Basel 1893 | Lausanne | 0 - 0 | December 14, 2025 |
| Lausanne | FC Basel 1893 | 5 - 1 | October 26, 2025 |
| Lausanne | FC Basel 1893 | 2 - 3 | May 14, 2025 |
| FC Basel 1893 | Lausanne | 1 - 1 | February 16, 2025 |
| FC Basel 1893 | Lausanne | 1 - 1 | November 30, 2024 |
FC Basel 1893 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Servette FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Juventus | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | FC Winterthur | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Yverdon Sport | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Rapperswil | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | FC Lugano | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Lausanne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Saint Etienne | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Grasshoppers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Yverdon Sport | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Breitenrain | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Flamengo | 2 - 0 | Win |
Super League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.85% likelihood that both FC Basel 1893 and Lausanne will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FC Basel 1893 to win
This prediction indicates that FC Basel 1893 has a 55.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.18 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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