Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Match Analysis
Farsta
Rågsved
Farsta
W
L
W
W
D
W
Rågsved
L
D
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model leans toward a home win for Farsta, supported by their strong recent form and dominance in head-to-head meetings, though the teams are closely matched overall. Despite Rågsved's recent poor form, their attacking threat means both teams scoring is predicted as likely, with the model expecting the match to produce over 2.5 goals—a combination suggested by Farsta's goalscoring record against Rågsved and both sides' attacking capabilities. Rest is even between the sides, so form and recent meetings are the key drivers here.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rågsved | Farsta | 0 - 1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Farsta | Rågsved | 3 - 2 | October 10, 2025 |
| Rågsved | Farsta | 2 - 1 | April 4, 2025 |
| Farsta | Rågsved | 1 - 2 | October 13, 2023 |
| Rågsved | Farsta | 4 - 6 | June 16, 2023 |
Farsta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Eker Örebro | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Karlslund | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Eker Örebro | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Forward | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Smedby | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Haninge | 5 - 0 | Win |
Rågsved Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Forward | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 22, 26 | Away | Syrianska FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Sleipner | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Sylvia | 4 - 2 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Forward | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Nyköping | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Farsta | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 17 | +13 | 25 |
| 7 | Rågsved | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 22 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.4% likelihood that both Farsta and Rågsved will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Farsta to win
This prediction indicates that Farsta has a 46.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.32 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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