Super League
Match Analysis
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
D
W
D
W
W
W
Hangzhou Greentown
W
D
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model leans toward a Beijing Guoan home win (57%) given their clear quality advantage and strong recent form compared to Hangzhou Greentown's moderate form, plus Guoan's dominance in recent head-to-head meetings. However, the prediction also favors both teams to score (65%) and expects a goal-heavy match with over 2.5 goals at 72% probability—this tension reflects Guoan's strong attacking form recently offsetting the historical pattern of low-scoring meetings between these sides. The model is flagged as most confident on the over 1.5 goals line, suggesting it sees enough attacking potential from both teams to reach a relatively modest threshold despite the defensive edge Guoan has shown.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Greentown | Beijing Guoan | 0 - 0 | April 17, 2026 |
| Hangzhou Greentown | Beijing Guoan | 3 - 4 | August 10, 2025 |
| Beijing Guoan | Hangzhou Greentown | 2 - 0 | April 6, 2025 |
| Beijing Guoan | Hangzhou Greentown | 0 - 0 | August 16, 2024 |
| Hangzhou Greentown | Beijing Guoan | 1 - 2 | April 26, 2024 |
| Beijing Guoan | Hangzhou Greentown | 0 - 1 | September 15, 2023 |
Beijing Guoan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Chengdu Better City | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Dalian Kewei | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Shenyang Urban | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Shandong Luneng | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Wuhan Three Towns | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Guangzhou E-Power | 1 - 2 | Win |
Hangzhou Greentown Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Dalian Zhixing | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Qingdao Jonoon | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Shanghai Shenhua | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Qingdao Youth Island | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Shaanxi Union | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Super League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hangzhou Greentown | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 26 | +6 | 28 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.06% likelihood that both Beijing Guoan and Hangzhou Greentown will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Beijing Guoan to win
This prediction indicates that Beijing Guoan has a 57.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.19 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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