Allsvenskan
Match Analysis
AIK Stockholm
Orgryte IS
AIK Stockholm
D
W
W
W
W
L
Orgryte IS
L
D
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for AIK Stockholm with a 67% probability, reflecting the clear quality gap and AIK's strong recent form compared to Orgryte IS's poor form. Despite Orgryte IS having a rest advantage, the model sees AIK as the stronger side likely to win. The model also suggests a 56% chance that both teams will score and a 61% chance that there will be over 1.5 goals, aligning with the view that the match will be quite open, as shot volume has been fairly even recently. The market odds for a home win and for over 1.5 goals are lower than the model's probabilities, indicating the model is more confident than the market in both outcomes.
AIK Stockholm Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | BK Hacken | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Gais | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Mjallby AIF | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | IFK Goteborg | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Vasteras SK FK | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Kalmar FF | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Orgryte IS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Vasteras SK FK | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Djurgardens IF | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | BK Hacken | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Kalmar FF | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Tromso | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Home | IF Elfsborg | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Allsvenskan Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AIK Stockholm | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 10 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.27% likelihood that both AIK Stockholm and Orgryte IS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.AIK Stockholm to win
This prediction indicates that AIK Stockholm has a 66.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.29 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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