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Cup

Aug. 1, 2026 2 days, 23 hours ago
0 – 6
Full Time

Match Analysis

Štětí Varnsdorf
Štětí W D W L L L
Varnsdorf W W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Varnsdorf are favored to win this cup match, backed by a clear quality advantage over Štětí and stronger recent form heading into the fixture. The away side's notable rest advantage adds to their positioning as favorites, with the model giving them a 57% chance of victory. Both teams scoring appears likely at 62%, and the match is expected to be relatively open—the model leans toward over 2.5 goals at 64%, suggesting an attacking contest rather than a tight, defensive affair.

Štětí Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Ústí nad Labem II 5 - 0 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Slovan Velvary 0 - 0 Draw
Feb 21, 26 Away Ústí nad Labem II 0 - 5 Win
Jan 24, 26 Away Slavoj Vyšehrad 5 - 1 Loss
Jan 17, 26 Home Králův Dvůr 1 - 7 Loss
Aug 13, 25 Home Motorlet Praha 0 - 1 Loss

Varnsdorf Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 22, 26 Away Ústí nad Labem II 0 - 6 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Přepeře 1 - 3 Win
Jul 8, 26 Home Arsenal Česká Lípa 0 - 6 Loss
Feb 21, 26 Away Kosmonosy 1 - 4 Win
Feb 7, 26 Home Diepenbeek 3 - 1 Win
Jan 17, 26 Home Ústí nad Labem II 3 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.48% likelihood that both Štětí and Varnsdorf will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Varnsdorf to win
This prediction indicates that Varnsdorf has a 57.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.71 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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